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Sunny with a chance of sneezing – I’m building a tool to forecast pollen levels that will help allergy sufferers know when it’s safe to go outside

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Last Updated on October 26, 2025 by Daily News Staff

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Advance warning of high pollen levels could help people plan their activities to avoid allergies. Dobrila Vignjevic/E+ via Getty Images

Fiona Lo, University of Washington

Do flowers blossoming in spring make you miserable? Are you sworn enemies with fall bloomers like ragweed? If you suffer from pollen allergies, imagine the usefulness of a reliable pollen forecast that could help you manage your symptoms by providing an early warning when pollen conditions are bad.

We’re working on it! As an atmospheric scientist, I study the weather, climate and anything in our Earth’s atmosphere, including pollen. One in three people in the U.S. suffer from allergic rhinitis, otherwise known as “allergies,” and pollen is the most common cause.

While allergic rhinitis is not curable, its symptoms can be successfully treated. Two main methods are medication and pollen avoidance. They both rely on knowing when, where and how much pollen is, and is expected to be, in the air. Many medications work best if taken before symptoms occur. Advance knowledge of pollen allows allergy sufferers to change plans in order to minimize their exposure to pollen.

My colleagues and I are pulling together what we know about how plant biology and meteorology affect the amount of pollen in the air, along with pollen count numbers, to build a reliable pollen forecast.

magnified view of pollen grains
A view of pollen from various plants, magnified 586 times under the microscope. BSIP/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

Counting pollen grain by grain

Allergic symptoms tend to be more severe the higher the concentration of airborne pollen. The amount of pollen in the air is constantly changing, so it would be ideal to monitor pollen in populated areas at regular frequent intervals. In the U.S., the National Allergy Bureau collects, processes and distributes daily pollen concentrations from stations around the country.

Unfortunately, there are fewer than 90 active stations. Of these, many do not count on weekends or outside of the main pollen season. Part of the reason is that these are volunteer-run stations, and pollen monitoring requires significant time and resources.

Pollen is collected using a machine that sucks in air and traps pollen on sticky tape. A trained technician then processes, identifies and counts the tiny pollen grains under a microscope. During the height of pollen season, it may take a few hours for a technician to count the day’s pollen. Automated pollen monitoring systems do exist and would greatly reduce the need for human resources. But for now, these systems are either extremely expensive or have not been evaluated for accuracy.

Building a forecasting model

Pollen that causes allergic reactions is from anemophilous or wind-pollinated plants. Pollen grains contain the male sperm from the plant, an essential component of plant reproduction. Anemophilous plants produce a lot of pollen because they rely on the whims of the wind to carry it to reach the female counterparts of their species to reproduce and grow new plants. The amount of pollen in the air has been rising because climate change is lengthening the pollen season and increasing how much pollen gets produced.

backlit pollen wafts in the air around a flowering tree branch
Certain weather conditions make it more likely to be a heavy pollen day. Alkimson/iStock via Getty Images Plus

Since we have access to only a limited amount of pollen count data, my colleagues and I leverage what we know about the environment to estimate the amount of pollen in the air. Generally warm, sunny, dry and windy days are correlated with high airborne pollen concentrations, and rainy and humid days with low concentrations.

Plants depend on water and sunlight to grow. The timing of precipitation, temperature and solar radiation can affect a plant’s development and its readiness to flower. Once the plant is ready to flower, environmental variables can determine when pollen is released, how far it travels and how long it remains in the air.

The pollen model my colleagues and I have developed uses these known relationships between meteorology and pollen to estimate airborne pollen. We also include satellite images of vegetation in the model because satellites can detect greening and provide an estimate of the beginning of spring.

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Our model can forecast pollen 1 to 14 days in advance for locations where there are pollen stations. But due to the sparsity of pollen stations, we are working on extending the model to forecast in locations with no pollen counts. In those places we use nearby pollen station data, along with localized meteorology, to estimate the pollen.

Although pollen reporting and forecasts do exist in the popular media, their pollen reports differ from observations, and their forecasts are limited only to categories of trees, grasses and weeds. Our forecast can predict for specific pollen types because our model includes information about how each plant type interacts differently with the environment.

woman checks her phone against backdrop of windows at night
Checking the pollen forecast could help you plan when to take allergy medication and how much time you’d spend outside. Klaus Vedfelt/DigitalVision via Getty Images

A fine-tuned forecast in your pocket

We are collaborating with medical professionals and health scientists to understand the pollen levels associated with increasing severity of allergic symptoms. Our plan is to tailor the forecast to allow patients to better manage their symptoms.

So far, we can accurately forecast for four of the most abundant pollen types in the U.S. only in locations with pollen stations. We are seeking funding to expand to other pollen types and other locations, and we are working on creating a platform to automate the data processing and run the forecast.

Ultimately, we want to provide a forecast every day during pollen season to give allergy sufferers the information they need to manage their symptoms. Allergies are often undertreated and knowledge about self-care is limited, so a reliable pollen forecast that is easy to access – for example via an app on your phone – along with education on allergy management, could really help allergy sufferers.

[You’re smart and curious about the world. So are The Conversation’s authors and editors. You can read us daily by subscribing to our newsletter.]

Fiona Lo, Postdoctoral Researcher in Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, University of Washington

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Women's Health

Menopause changes your mouth. Most women have no idea.

Menopause changes your mouth: Many women are familiar with the most talked-about symptoms of menopause – hot flashes, disrupted sleep, brain fog and mood swings. Far fewer know that dry mouth and sensitive teeth belong on that list too.

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Menopause changes your mouth. Most women have no idea.

(Sheeka Sanahori) Many women are familiar with the most talked-about symptoms of menopause – hot flashes, disrupted sleep, brain fog and mood swings. Far fewer know that dry mouth and sensitive teeth belong on that list too.

There’s a name for it: menopause mouth. According to survey data from Delta Dental Insurance Company, 83% of women 40 and older in menopause aren’t aware of any of its symptoms.

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What menopause mouth feels like

Forty percent say they have noticed an increase in dry mouth. Another 27% have noticed more tooth sensitivity in recent months, and 26% say things taste different than they used to. You tell yourself it’s something else. You’re not drinking enough water; you’ve been brushing too hard. Menopause isn’t the first thing that comes to mind.

It adds up. Forty-five percent say oral symptoms associated with menopause, such as tooth pain, dry mouth or gum inflammation, take a toll on their confidence, mood or mental health.

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Menopause affects the whole body, mentally and physically. So why is the mouth left out?

Even after learning about this connection, 30% of women say they can’t find information about menopause-related oral health concerns. It isn’t that no one is willing to discuss it.

What makes the conversation hard to start

Three-quarters of dentists say they are comfortable discussing menopause with patients. They just want to know who they’re talking to. Most say they would want more patient history, or to know a patient was in menopause, before raising the subject. Forty-five percent say they would not bring up how menopause affects oral health unless a patient asked.

Dentists also believe that patients are already informed. Ninety-four percent say their patients are at least somewhat aware that menopause can affect oral health. So a patient says nothing about her dry mouth, because it doesn’t seem like a dental problem. The dentist doesn’t bring it up either, assuming someone already has.

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Women are asking for the information

Nearly nine in 10 women say it would help to receive specific instructions during dental visits about managing oral health during menopause. And 69% say they would be more likely to book an appointment if a primary care provider or OB-GYN had told them menopause affects oral health.

No matter who brings it up, the conversation is one worth having. Hormonal changes during menopause can increase the risk of tooth loss or tooth decay, gum disease, receding gumline or loss of jawbone density. Discussing new oral symptoms with a dentist can help women identify potential problems and address them early.

How to start the conversation with your dentist

Your dentist probably doesn’t know you’re in menopause. Start there.

Questions worth asking:

  • “Could the changes I’m noticing be related to menopause?”
  • “I haven’t had a cavity in 30 years, and now I have two. Could that be tied to hormonal changes?”
  • “What can I do about dry mouth?”
  • “Are there symptoms I should watch for?”
  • “Should I adjust my oral care routine?”

Any one of these questions can get the conversation started.

Methodology

Delta Dental Insurance Company commissioned Atomik Research to conduct two online surveys between June 25 and July 2, 2025.

The first surveyed 200 dentists throughout the United States. The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points with a 95% confidence level.

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The second surveyed 1,511 women ages 40 or older throughout the United States. To qualify, participants had to indicate they are in perimenopause, menopause or post-menopause. Those who were not sure which stage they were in, or who indicated they were not yet in one of the three stages, were excused from participation. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% confidence level

Atomik Research, part of 4media group, is an independent market research agency.

Photo courtesy of Shutterstock

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Flu Season Arrives Early: Walgreens Launches 2026-2027 Flu Index as Activity Rises Across the U.S.

The 2026-2027 flu season is tracking four weeks ahead of recent years. Explore Walgreens’ new Flu Index, rising activity, and ways to stay protected.

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Last Updated on November 6, 2026 by Daily News Staff

2026-2027 Flu Season: New tracking data suggests influenza activity is running approximately four weeks ahead of recent seasons, with increases reported across western states and Florida.

2026-2027 Flu Season: Illustration of an influenza virus, a United States map highlighting western states and Florida, and a healthcare professional preparing a flu vaccine during the 2026–2027 flu season.
Walgreens reports that flu activity is tracking approximately four weeks ahead of recent seasons as its new 2026–2027 Flu Index monitors respiratory illness trends nationwide.

2026-2027 Flu Season Starts Early as Walgreens Launches New Flu Index

STM Daily News | Health & Wellness

October 30, 2026

Flu season may be getting an early start this year, and a new online tracking tool from Walgreens is giving Americans a closer look at respiratory illness activity in their communities.

On October 21, Walgreens announced the launch of its 2026-2027 Flu Index, an interactive tool that monitors influenza, COVID-19, and other acute respiratory illnesses across the United States.

According to the company’s initial findings, national flu activity is tracking approximately four weeks ahead of recent flu seasons, with increasing activity reported across several western states and Florida.

The early trends serve as a reminder that influenza doesn’t necessarily wait until winter to begin spreading.

Flu Activity Is Increasing Earlier Than Expected

Walgreens reports that its early-season data indicates influenza activity is already increasing in multiple parts of the country.

The company’s findings include:

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  • Earlier flu activity: National flu activity is tracking approximately four weeks ahead of recent seasons.
  • Regional increases: Several western states and Florida are experiencing rising activity.
  • More antiviral prescriptions: Walgreens reports dispensing more flu antiviral medications than during the same period in 2025.
  • Growing demand for cold and flu products: Sales of cold and flu medications, at-home respiratory illness tests, cough drops, and tea have increased by double-digit percentages compared with last year.

Although these indicators suggest respiratory illness activity is increasing, they do not necessarily mean the current flu season will be more severe than previous seasons.

Increased purchases of cold medications and testing products can reflect changes in consumer behavior as well as illness trends.

The findings come from Walgreens’ pharmacy and retail data and should be considered alongside public health surveillance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

What Is the Walgreens Flu Index?

The Walgreens Flu Index is an interactive online platform designed to help consumers understand where respiratory illnesses are circulating and how activity is changing over time.

The tool combines several types of information, including:

  • Flu and COVID-19 testing data from Walgreens locations
  • Prescription antiviral medication trends
  • Over-the-counter cold and flu product purchases
  • Geographic patterns in respiratory illness activity

Using these indicators, Walgreens calculates an activity score ranging from 0 to 10.

A score of zero represents the lowest level of activity, while a score of ten represents the highest.

The index provides weekly information for states and territories, along with more than 1,500 counties where sufficient Walgreens data is available.

The map is updated every Monday, allowing users to compare current activity with previous weeks and the prior flu season.

Importantly, Walgreens emphasizes that the index measures relative illness activity, not disease severity. A higher score does not necessarily indicate more hospitalizations, more serious infections, or a greater risk of complications.

The index also does not represent a complete count of influenza cases nationwide.

Explore the interactive map:
https://www.walgreens.com/seasonal/respiratory-illness-index

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Why Local Flu Activity Matters

Influenza does not spread evenly across the country.

Some communities may experience increasing cases weeks before others, making local information useful for families, schools, healthcare providers, and individuals who may be at higher risk of complications.

“Flu activity can vary significantly from one community to another, and knowing what’s happening locally can make a real difference,” said Rick Gates, Walgreens’ chief pharmacy and enterprise external affairs officer.

Gates added that the index is intended to help people make informed decisions about prevention, including vaccination before influenza becomes more widespread in their communities.

For residents of states such as Arizona, California, Nevada, and other western states, the reported regional increases make monitoring local respiratory illness trends particularly relevant.

However, the company’s announcement does not establish that every western county is experiencing elevated flu activity. Readers should consult the latest local data for a more accurate picture.

Why Getting a Flu Shot Still Matters

Annual influenza vaccination remains an important tool for reducing the risk of flu illness and serious complications.

Because influenza viruses change over time, flu vaccines are reviewed and updated each season to target strains expected to circulate.

The CDC recommends annual influenza vaccination for most people ages six months and older, with rare exceptions.

Vaccination is especially important for people who face a greater risk of serious complications, including:

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  • Adults ages 65 and older
  • Young children, particularly those younger than five
  • Pregnant individuals
  • People with chronic conditions such as asthma, diabetes, or heart disease
  • People with weakened immune systems

For adults 65 and older, the CDC preferentially recommends certain enhanced influenza vaccines, including higher-dose, recombinant, or adjuvanted options, when available.

Walgreens says its pharmacies offer standard-dose and higher-dose vaccines, along with a new mRNA influenza vaccine at select locations.

Vaccine selection should follow current CDC recommendations, individual eligibility, and guidance from a qualified healthcare professional.

It generally takes about two weeks after vaccination for the body to develop protective antibodies.

Even if influenza is already circulating locally, vaccination can still provide benefits throughout the season.

Practical Ways to Reduce Your Risk of Getting Sick

Vaccination is an important preventive measure, but it is not the only step people can take to reduce the spread of respiratory illnesses.

Public health guidance also encourages several everyday precautions.

Wash your hands regularly. Use soap and water, particularly after touching shared surfaces or being in public places. Alcohol-based hand sanitizer can help when soap and water are unavailable.

Cover coughs and sneezes. Use a tissue or your elbow to reduce the spread of respiratory droplets.

Improve indoor air quality. Opening windows when practical, improving ventilation, and using appropriate air filtration can help reduce exposure to airborne respiratory viruses.

Avoid close contact when sick. Staying home when experiencing respiratory illness symptoms can help protect coworkers, classmates, friends, and family members.

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Consider wearing a well-fitting mask. Masks can provide an additional layer of protection, particularly in crowded indoor spaces or around people at higher risk.

Pay attention to symptoms. Fever, coughing, sore throat, fatigue, muscle aches, and congestion can occur with influenza and other respiratory infections.

Because flu and COVID-19 can produce similar symptoms, testing may help determine the cause of an illness.

People at higher risk of complications should contact a healthcare professional promptly if flu symptoms develop. Prescription antiviral medications work best when started early, ideally within the first two days of symptoms, although treatment can still benefit some patients later.

Walgreens Expands Vaccination Access for the 2026–2027 Season

Alongside the launch of its Flu Index, Walgreens announced several efforts to make seasonal vaccinations more convenient.

The company says it is increasing pharmacy staffing, expanding appointment availability, and allowing customers to schedule vaccinations further in advance.

Customers can arrange appointments through several methods:

Walgreens also announced promotional Walgreens Cash rewards for eligible myWalgreens members receiving vaccinations.

Under the limited-time promotion, qualifying members may earn $15 in Walgreens Cash rewards on eligible purchases, along with an additional 10% back on qualifying purchases for a limited period.

Restrictions, exclusions, geographic limitations, and promotional deadlines apply. Customers should review the official terms before participating.

What About COVID-19 and Other Respiratory Illnesses?

Although influenza is the primary focus of the seasonal announcement, the Walgreens Flu Index also tracks COVID-19 and broader acute respiratory illness trends.

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This distinction matters because several respiratory viruses can circulate simultaneously during the fall and winter months.

Influenza, COVID-19, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and common cold viruses can produce overlapping symptoms, but their potential complications and recommended treatments differ.

Vaccination eligibility and recommendations also vary by disease, age, and individual health circumstances.

Readers should consult current CDC guidance and their healthcare providers when considering flu, COVID-19, or RSV vaccination.

The Bottom Line: Flu Season May Be Early, but Prevention Still Matters

The launch of the 2026–2027 Walgreens Flu Index offers another resource for Americans who want to monitor respiratory illness activity in their communities.

While Walgreens’ early findings suggest influenza activity is increasing sooner than in recent years, it is still too early to determine how severe the overall season will become.

The most important message for consumers is to prepare before respiratory illnesses become widespread.

Staying current with recommended vaccinations, practicing good hygiene, monitoring local illness trends, and seeking medical attention when appropriate can help reduce the risk of serious illness.

With flu activity already rising in some regions, now is a good time for families to review their seasonal health plans.


Related Links for Further Information

Walgreens Resources

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Public Health Resources

Source: Walgreen Co., press release, October 21, 2026, Walgreens Launches 2026–2027 Flu Index as Activity Tracks Four Weeks Ahead of Recent Seasons.

Editor’s Note: This article summarizes information from Walgreens’ October 21, 2026, announcement. The reported early-season trends reflect the company’s findings at that time and are not a substitute for current CDC surveillance or medical advice. Readers should consult healthcare professionals about individual vaccination and treatment decisions.

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Health and Life Insurance

Medicare Open Enrollment Ends Dec. 7: Give Your Plan a Check-up

Medicare Open Enrollment Ends Dec. 7: Medicare Open Enrollment runs now through Dec. 7. Use this time to make sure your plan still fits your needs with these four steps.

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Medicare Open Enrollment Ends Dec. 7: Give Your Plan a Check-up

Medicare Open Enrollment Ends Dec. 7: Give Your Plan a Check-up

(Feature Impact) Medicare Open Enrollment runs now through Dec. 7. Use this time to make sure your plan still fits your needs. Medicare.gov is your official source for Open Enrollment. Compare every Medicare health and drug plan available in your area. You can easily compare Medicare plan costs, side-by-side, by simply entering the prescription drugs you take. If you prefer to talk with someone, call 1-800-MEDICARE (1-800-633-4227), available 24/7, to review your options and get your questions answered. 

Information provided by the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services.

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